Catastrophe Options

all ▲ calls ▼ puts

today 7d 30d 90d

pass near miss all

🧺 Basket 0 picked collect $0 risk $0 sort by crowd ↑

⚙ More filters — status, EV, edge, DTE, sort (all candidates incl. rejects)

sym	sec	age	status	spot@	K	DTE	mid@	EV$	edge	crowd	real
AXTI today	Tch	11:00	low EV	$127.82	149C ↗	7	$3.38	-0	-4.8%	0.28	—
ZM today	Tch	11:00	thin edge	$108.26	120C ↗	7	$0.53	+21	+3.6%	0.11	—
RKLB today	Ind	11:00	low EV	$136.19	152C ↗	7	$2.31	-0	-3.1%	0.31	—
CRDO today	Tch	11:00	low EV	$203.26	225C ↗	7	$3.65	-0	-4.3%	0.34	—
CBRS today	—	11:00	low EV	$258.04	245P ↗	7	$4.35	-0	-0.0%	0.25	—
ASTS today	CsD	11:00	low EV	$106.08	119C ↗	7	$2.22	-0	-4.2%	0.32	—
SOXL today	—	11:00	low EV	$191.27	215C ↗	7	$3.28	-0	-1.6%	0.48	—
QCOM today	Tch	11:00	low EV	$240.44	250C ↗	7	$3.73	-0	-0.5%	0.25	—
RGTI today	Tch	11:00	low EV	$26.18	31C ↗	7	$0.69	-23	-4.9%	0.43	—
IONQ today	Tch	11:00	low EV	$63.70	71C ↗	7	$1.30	-15	-3.8%	0.35	—
QBTS today	Tch	11:00	low EV	$29.70	35C ↗	7	$0.62	-11	-2.6%	0.43	—
PL today	Tch	11:00	low EV	$45.02	50C ↗	7	$0.73	-16	-3.3%	0.23	—
AA today	Ind	11:00	low EV	$70.81	76C ↗	7	$0.75	-17	-3.5%	0.16	—
MP	Mat	15:31	low EV	$62.11	66C ↗	8	$0.88	-11	-4.1%	0.41	+1.5%
USAR	Mat	15:31	low EV	$24.41	28C ↗	8	$0.45	-11	-2.6%	0.41	-0.7%
DRAM	—	15:31	low EV	$54.28	59C ↗	8	$0.85	-13	-4.8%	0.41	+0.3%
GLW	Ind	15:31	low EV	$192.00	210C ↗	8	$1.77	-0	-0.8%	0.43	+0.8%
RKLB	Ind	15:31	thin edge	$125.00	121P ↗	1	$1.41	+30	+4.3%	0.31	+0.9%
NBIS	Tch	15:31	low EV	$218.94	235C ↗	1	$2.72	+0	+0.5%	0.37	+0.1%
CRWV	Tch	15:31	thin edge	$106.67	112C ↗	1	$0.90	+3	+1.2%	0.37	+0.0%
AAOI	Tch	15:31	low EV	$176.30	210C ↗	8	$4.65	-0	-5.9%	0.22	-1.2%
HUT	Fin	15:31	low EV	$103.28	113C ↗	8	$1.64	-18	-3.5%	0.44	+3.5%
IREN	Tch	15:31	thin edge	$57.46	60C ↗	1	$0.66	+7	+1.9%	0.41	+3.0%
SNDK	Tch	15:31	low EV	$1544.47	1650C ↗	8	$25.55	-0	-3.6%	0.39	+4.7%
BE	Eng	15:31	low EV	$309.39	350C ↗	8	$4.35	-0	-1.6%	0.38	+1.3%
ARM	Tch	15:31	low EV	$291.77	298C ↗	1	$3.12	+0	+5.6%	0.35	+6.4%
LITE	Com	15:31	low EV	$972.18	1000C ↗	1	$7.55	+0	+7.3%	0.37	+2.7%
INTU	Tch	15:31	low EV	$305.62	290P ↗	8	$4.25	-0	-3.7%	0.26	+0.6%
GLXY	Fin	14:31	low EV	$29.16	32C ↗	8	$0.44	-18	-4.4%	0.39	+1.4%
APLD	Fin	13:30	thin edge	$47.52	49C ↗	1	$0.60	+15	+4.9%	0.47	+5.7%

Glossary columns · statuses · strategies

Quality

PASS: Cleared every filter. Actionable signal.
thin edge: Picked a strike but edge < 5% — too close to fair. Watch, don't trade.
low EV: Picked a strike but conservative EV ≤ $0. Skip.
wide quote: Bid/ask spread > 35% of mid — chain illiquid, slippage eats edge.
BE near 200d: Strike break-even sits within reach of 200-day MA — too aggressive.

Catastrophe columns

spot@: Underlying price at signal time. Compare to live chart.
K: Option strike. P=put, C=call. OTM by design.
DTE: Days to expiration. Target 1–10d for theta.
mid@: Option premium at signal time (mid of bid/ask). What you sell.
EV$: Conservative expected dollars per contract.
edge: (model fair − market mid) / max-loss. Need > 5%.

Strategy

Catastrophe options: Sell short-dated OTM options after IV blow-out. Harvest IV-crush + theta. Naked single leg — one put OR one call.
Gap fade: Pre-market gappers expected to fill back to prior close.
Waterfall bounce: Mean reversion long after large-cap panic drops.
Spread: Here = bid/ask gap on option quote. NOT a credit spread.

sec	n	hit	mean
Tch	28	89%	+8.5%
Ind	10	70%	+4.3%
Fin	10	80%	+6.7%
Mis	4	75%	+7.4%
CsD	3	67%	+4.4%
Eny	3	100%	+14.8%
Mat	3	67%	+3.4%
Unk	2	100%	+3.6%