Catastrophe Options

all ▲ calls ▼ puts

today 7d 30d 90d

pass near miss all

🧺 Basket 0 picked collect $0 risk $0 sort by crowd ↑

⚙ More filters — status, EV, edge, DTE, sort (all candidates incl. rejects)

sym	sec	age	status	spot@	K	DTE	mid@	EV$	edge	crowd	real
CBRS today	—	15:01	low EV	$252.16	245P ↗	7	$4.35	+0	+2.4%	0.28	—
INTU	Tch	15:31	low EV	$305.62	290P ↗	8	$4.25	-0	-3.7%	0.24	+0.6%
RKLB	Ind	15:31	thin edge	$125.00	121P ↗	1	$1.41	+30	+4.3%	0.33	+0.9%
FUTU	Fin	15:30	thin edge	$124.79	117P ↗	3	$1.43	+2	+0.3%	0.37	-0.0%
CRWV	Tch	15:30	thin edge	$98.30	91P ↗	3	$1.61	+5	+0.6%	0.37	+2.2%
IREN	Tch	15:30	thin edge	$47.72	43P ↗	10	$1.34	+0	+0.1%	0.42	+0.1%
AGQ	—	15:30	thin edge	$110.00	100P ↗	3	$1.88	+18	+3.5%	0.30	-1.6%
VRT	Tch	15:01	low EV	$322.19	300P ↗	3	$5.58	+0	+0.6%	0.44	+1.2%
RBLX	Tch	13:30	low EV	$44.37	42P ↗	3	$0.48	-9	-0.9%	0.13	+0.2%
NVTS	Tch	12:30	thin edge	$18.66	16P ↗	10	$0.57	+9	+1.2%	0.37	+5.0%
USAR	Mat	12:30	thin edge	$19.98	18P ↗	10	$0.53	+7	+0.9%	0.41	-0.1%
OKLO	Utl	12:30	thin edge	$54.67	51P ↗	3	$0.83	+8	+1.2%	0.42	+2.1%
ASTS	CsD	12:01	thin edge	$81.92	76P ↗	3	$1.58	+17	+2.1%	0.31	+7.4%
IONQ	Tch	12:01	thin edge	$46.71	43P ↗	3	$0.73	+1	+0.1%	0.33	+5.1%
SOXL	—	11:01	low EV	$142.52	128P ↗	3	$4.42	+0	+0.9%	0.51	+5.6%
WULF	Tch	11:01	low EV	$19.95	18P ↗	10	$0.48	-2	-0.3%	0.45	+8.6%
RIOT	Fin	10:50	low EV	$21.76	20P ↗	10	$0.50	-6	-0.8%	0.46	+4.1%
MP	Mat	15:32	thin edge	$55.57	54P ↗	4	$0.71	+17	+2.4%	0.39	+0.3%
WDC	Tch	15:32	low EV	$450.03	410P ↗	4	$3.98	+0	+3.7%	0.43	+0.3%
MSTR	Tch	15:32	thin edge	$165.12	158P ↗	4	$2.34	+3	+0.5%	0.38	-0.4%
SNDK	Tch	15:32	low EV	$1304.13	1220P ↗	4	$28.10	+0	+1.7%	0.39	+0.6%
DRAM	—	15:01	thin edge	$48.24	45P ↗	4	$0.75	+10	+1.3%	0.42	+2.1%
CAR	CsD	11:31	low EV	$142.38	135P ↗	4	$1.73	-15	-3.1%	0.09	+2.8%
BABA	ReE	15:31	thin edge	$132.77	128P ↗	7	$1.06	+3	+0.4%	0.31	-0.9%
WOLF	Tch	15:31	thin edge	$61.70	57P ↗	7	$1.44	+11	+1.5%	0.37	-11.2%
NVDX	—	15:31	thin edge	$22.73	20P ↗	7	$0.45	+24	+2.8%	0.35	-8.9%
NVDL	—	15:31	low EV	$119.42	111P ↗	7	$2.85	-12	-1.6%	0.35	-9.0%
TNA	—	15:31	low EV	$60.82	56P ↗	7	$0.96	-9	-1.1%	0.51	-0.5%
CRCL	Fin	15:31	thin edge	$115.62	103P ↗	7	$2.52	+5	+0.7%	0.26	+0.6%

Glossary columns · statuses · strategies

Quality

PASS: Cleared every filter. Actionable signal.
thin edge: Picked a strike but edge < 5% — too close to fair. Watch, don't trade.
low EV: Picked a strike but conservative EV ≤ $0. Skip.
wide quote: Bid/ask spread > 35% of mid — chain illiquid, slippage eats edge.
BE near 200d: Strike break-even sits within reach of 200-day MA — too aggressive.

Catastrophe columns

spot@: Underlying price at signal time. Compare to live chart.
K: Option strike. P=put, C=call. OTM by design.
DTE: Days to expiration. Target 1–10d for theta.
mid@: Option premium at signal time (mid of bid/ask). What you sell.
EV$: Conservative expected dollars per contract.
edge: (model fair − market mid) / max-loss. Need > 5%.

Strategy

Catastrophe options: Sell short-dated OTM options after IV blow-out. Harvest IV-crush + theta. Naked single leg — one put OR one call.
Gap fade: Pre-market gappers expected to fill back to prior close.
Waterfall bounce: Mean reversion long after large-cap panic drops.
Spread: Here = bid/ask gap on option quote. NOT a credit spread.

sec	n	hit	mean
Tch	190	51%	+1.0%
Unk	77	35%	-0.9%
Ind	60	38%	-0.5%
Fin	57	39%	-0.1%
Mat	31	32%	-1.7%
CsD	27	67%	+3.7%
Mis	21	48%	+1.8%
Hlt	18	39%	-0.7%